Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.037988 0.044013 0.050314 0.057366 0.065006 0.073004 0.081982
2025-04-20 0.030263 0.039293 0.049373 0.061303 0.074892 0.089755 0.107106
2025-04-27 0.022557 0.032783 0.044920 0.060018 0.077950 0.098254 0.122677
2025-05-04 0.018680 0.029908 0.043932 0.062067 0.084285 0.110074 0.141742
2025-05-11 0.014770 0.026241 0.041343 0.061631 0.087225 0.117613 0.155619
2025-05-18 0.012674 0.024618 0.041047 0.063790 0.093129 0.128552 0.173450
2025-05-25 0.010827 0.023020 0.040524 0.065450 0.098265 0.138483 0.190059
2025-06-01 0.008402 0.020095 0.037807 0.063898 0.099067 0.142908 0.199871
2025-06-08 0.006429 0.017501 0.035247 0.062285 0.099573 0.146805 0.208921
2025-06-15 0.005588 0.016721 0.035285 0.064220 0.104722 0.156556 0.225248
2025-06-22 0.004680 0.015623 0.034699 0.065165 0.108484 0.164516 0.239357
2025-06-29 0.004106 0.015076 0.034919 0.067241 0.113771 0.174456 0.256003
2025-07-06 0.003169 0.013583 0.033543 0.067026 0.116109 0.180891 0.268699
2025-07-13 0.003048 0.013977 0.035437 0.071868 0.125655 0.196979 0.293978
2025-07-20 0.002182 0.012250 0.033425 0.070567 0.126470 0.201525 0.304500
2025-07-27 0.001851 0.011834 0.033727 0.072862 0.132411 0.212915 0.323907
2025-08-03 0.001330 0.010610 0.032362 0.072387 0.134289 0.218831 0.336223
2025-08-10 0.001121 0.010319 0.032768 0.074775 0.140349 0.230423 0.355994
2025-08-17 0.000907 0.009898 0.032856 0.076608 0.145587 0.240914 0.374367
2025-08-24 0.000553 0.008586 0.030919 0.074894 0.145443 0.243971 0.382899
2025-08-31 0.000302 0.007387 0.029027 0.073112 0.145089 0.246668 0.390912
2025-09-07 0.000233 0.007190 0.029376 0.075250 0.150712 0.257678 0.410024
2025-09-14 0.000152 0.006763 0.029128 0.076294 0.154646 0.266350 0.426052